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Red52
586015.5
481018.9
592617.0
Blue78
955819.2
612021.3
366718.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions566502040801001205278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4810
#10
18.90.0
18.918.9
Auto6.2
Teleop9.6
End3.1
blue by 2.4
21.30.2
20.820.9
Auto7.9
Teleop11.9
End1.6
Second
5926
#19
17.00.0
17.017.0
Auto7.0
Teleop8.1
End1.9
blue by 2.2
9558
#12
19.20.2
18.718.8
Auto4.3
Teleop13.3
End1.7
Third
5860
#32
15.50.0
15.515.5
Auto6.3
Teleop8.3
End0.9
blue by 3.4
3667
#21
18.90.2
18.418.6
Auto8.1
Teleop10.0
End0.8