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Red69
931228.4
719727.1
609915.0
Blue80
592617.0
481018.9
586015.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions824902040601001201406980

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.40.1
28.428.3
Auto11.5
Teleop14.3
End2.6
red by 9.5
4810
#10
18.90.7
17.818.5
Auto6.2
Teleop9.6
End3.1
Second
27.10.1
27.127.0
Auto8.9
Teleop16.5
End1.8
red by 10.1
5926
#19
17.00.7
15.916.6
Auto7.0
Teleop8.1
End1.9
Third
6099
#33
15.00.1
15.014.8
Auto7.0
Teleop6.8
End1.2
blue by 0.5
5860
#32
15.50.7
14.415.1
Auto6.3
Teleop8.3
End0.9