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Red21
99854.9
99943.6
150416.1
Blue46
511424.3
60719.9
50469.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions204804060801001202146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.10.4
15.014.6
Auto7.3
Teleop6.7
End2.1
blue by 8.1
24.30.4
23.523.9
Auto9.4
Teleop11.9
End3.0
Second
9985
#24
4.90.7
5.74.9
Auto2.4
Teleop1.7
End0.6
blue by 5.0
6071
#15
9.90.4
9.910.3
Auto6.5
Teleop2.6
End0.8
Third
9994
#26
3.60.7
6.96.1
Auto1.2
Teleop1.5
End0.7
blue by 5.7
5046
#10
9.40.4
6.56.9
Auto4.7
Teleop4.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed