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Red28
377013.9
99934.1
553417.7
Blue55
439816.9
721123.9
60719.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46550204060801002855

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5534
#22
17.71.1
20.419.4
Auto7.9
Teleop7.9
End2.0
blue by 6.2
23.90.1
23.023.1
Auto9.0
Teleop12.3
End2.6
Second
3770
#31
13.91.1
17.116.0
Auto4.9
Teleop8.5
End0.5
blue by 3.0
4398
#14
16.90.1
15.715.8
Auto8.2
Teleop7.7
End1.0
Third
9993
#30
4.11.8
6.34.5
Auto2.0
Teleop1.2
End0.8
blue by 5.8
6071
#15
9.90.1
9.89.9
Auto6.5
Teleop2.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed32%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed