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Red46
967311.2
508420.2
521625.4
Blue64
552711.1
214537.0
35378.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions675702040801001201401604664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5216
#23
25.41.2
27.326.1
Auto6.8
Teleop17.2
End1.5
blue by 11.6
37.00.7
34.935.6
Auto14.5
Teleop20.5
End2.1
Second
20.21.2
21.220.0
Auto8.8
Teleop8.5
End2.9
red by 9.0
5527
#18
11.10.7
10.411.2
Auto3.6
Teleop5.0
End2.6
Third
9673
#28
11.21.2
11.810.6
Auto3.9
Teleop5.4
End1.9
red by 2.8
3537
#11
8.40.7
7.88.5
Auto2.7
Teleop4.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
53%Melody oddsMissed36%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsEarned