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Red105
542418.5
214537.0
168427.4
Blue59
924523.3
52298.8
851728.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9266020408010012014016010559

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.00.4
36.236.6
Auto14.5
Teleop20.5
End2.1
red by 8.4
8517
#13
28.70.1
29.029.0
Auto11.3
Teleop15.3
End2.1
Second
27.40.4
26.627.0
Auto5.7
Teleop20.7
End1.1
red by 4.1
9245
#12
23.30.1
23.623.6
Auto10.9
Teleop11.5
End1.0
Third
5424
#21
18.50.4
17.618.0
Auto6.2
Teleop11.0
End1.3
red by 9.7
5229
#29
8.80.1
9.29.1
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End0.4