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Red43
60719.9
55096.9
261912.0
Blue66
50469.4
552711.1
508420.2
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29450204060801004366

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2619
#27
12.00.2
11.812.0
Auto3.8
Teleop6.3
End2.0
blue by 8.1
20.20.6
19.720.3
Auto8.8
Teleop8.5
End2.9
Second
6071
#15
9.90.2
9.79.9
Auto6.5
Teleop2.6
End0.8
blue by 1.2
5527
#18
11.10.6
10.711.3
Auto3.6
Teleop5.0
End2.6
Third
5509
#16
6.90.2
6.76.9
Auto3.3
Teleop2.5
End1.2
blue by 2.4
5046
#10
9.40.6
8.99.5
Auto4.7
Teleop4.1
End0.6