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Red91
542418.5
214537.0
168427.4
Blue61
887325.8
675314.4
150416.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92590501509161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.00.3
36.036.2
Auto14.5
Teleop20.5
End2.1
red by 11.3
8873
#25
25.80.1
26.126.1
Auto7.2
Teleop16.0
End2.6
Second
27.40.3
26.326.6
Auto5.7
Teleop20.7
End1.1
red by 11.3
16.10.1
16.416.5
Auto7.3
Teleop6.7
End2.1
Third
5424
#21
18.50.3
17.417.6
Auto6.2
Teleop11.0
End1.3
red by 4.0
14.40.1
14.714.8
Auto7.5
Teleop4.9
End2.0