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Red69
150416.1
675314.4
887325.8
Blue55
571228.7
99943.6
721123.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions646440506070806955

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8873
#25
25.80.1
26.126.3
Auto7.2
Teleop16.0
End2.6
blue by 2.9
28.70.3
29.028.7
Auto13.6
Teleop13.2
End1.9
Second
16.10.1
16.516.6
Auto7.3
Teleop6.7
End2.1
blue by 7.8
23.90.3
24.223.9
Auto9.0
Teleop12.3
End2.6
Third
14.40.1
14.815.0
Auto7.5
Teleop4.9
End2.0
red by 10.8
9994
#26
3.60.5
4.13.6
Auto1.2
Teleop1.5
End0.7