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Red68
606718.9
851724.3
521623.2
Blue106
522910.7
571236.6
511434.8
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions719340608010012014068106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.30.1
24.424.3
Auto9.4
Teleop12.5
End2.4
blue by 12.3
36.60.1
36.536.6
Auto14.9
Teleop18.7
End2.9
Second
23.20.1
23.323.2
Auto9.2
Teleop11.5
End2.5
blue by 11.6
34.80.1
34.734.8
Auto14.1
Teleop19.5
End1.2
Third
6067
#21
18.90.1
19.118.9
Auto6.6
Teleop11.7
End0.6
red by 8.2
5229
#24
10.70.1
10.710.7
Auto2.4
Teleop7.5
End0.9