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Red67
542421.2
65337.1
521623.2
Blue42
508429.5
96855.7
725011.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4243102030506070806742

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.21.9
17.919.9
Auto9.2
Teleop11.5
End2.5
blue by 6.4
29.50.1
23.323.4
Auto13.1
Teleop13.9
End2.5
Second
21.21.9
13.015.0
Auto7.4
Teleop10.7
End3.0
red by 9.6
7250
#28
11.50.1
10.911.0
Auto5.6
Teleop5.1
End0.9
Third
6533
#30
7.13.2
6.810.1
Auto4.5
Teleop2.0
End0.6
red by 1.4
9685
#34
5.70.1
4.94.9
Auto3.0
Teleop1.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsEarned14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed