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Red67
519310.7
571236.6
966214.4
Blue42
92276.1
598216.6
606718.9
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions642702040801001206742

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.60.9
31.532.4
Auto14.9
Teleop18.7
End2.9
red by 17.6
6067
#21
18.90.9
15.416.2
Auto6.6
Teleop11.7
End0.6
Second
9662
#26
14.40.9
13.214.1
Auto5.3
Teleop7.2
End1.8
blue by 2.2
5982
#14
16.60.9
9.510.3
Auto3.7
Teleop10.0
End2.9
Third
5193
#18
10.70.9
8.89.7
Auto3.9
Teleop6.1
End0.7
red by 4.6
9227
#38
6.10.9
4.25.1
Auto2.4
Teleop2.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
74%Melody oddsEarned11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed