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Red34
515013.3
725011.5
609714.4
Blue59
508429.5
521623.2
495620.8
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33700204060801001203459

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6097
#29
14.40.0
13.713.6
Auto7.2
Teleop6.0
End1.2
blue by 15.1
29.50.0
23.423.4
Auto13.1
Teleop13.9
End2.5
Second
5150
#25
13.30.0
9.89.8
Auto5.9
Teleop7.3
End0.1
blue by 9.8
23.20.0
19.919.9
Auto9.2
Teleop11.5
End2.5
Third
7250
#28
11.50.0
11.010.9
Auto5.6
Teleop5.1
End0.9
blue by 9.3
4956
#10
20.80.0
15.615.6
Auto6.0
Teleop12.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed34%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed