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Red22
606718.9
65337.1
96855.7
Blue67
851724.3
542421.2
607316.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32490204060801002267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6067
#21
18.90.6
16.215.6
Auto6.6
Teleop11.7
End0.6
blue by 5.3
24.31.5
15.617.1
Auto9.4
Teleop12.5
End2.4
Second
6533
#30
7.11.0
10.19.0
Auto4.5
Teleop2.0
End0.6
blue by 14.1
21.21.5
15.016.5
Auto7.4
Teleop10.7
End3.0
Third
9685
#34
5.70.6
4.94.3
Auto3.0
Teleop1.7
End1.0
blue by 11.2
6073
#12
16.91.5
11.913.4
Auto7.5
Teleop7.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed