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Red57
515013.3
571236.6
65337.1
Blue34
66318.0
819316.7
749118.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6136020801001205734

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.60.3
33.734.1
Auto14.9
Teleop18.7
End2.9
red by 18.4
18.10.1
15.014.9
Auto8.2
Teleop8.9
End1.0
Second
5150
#25
13.30.3
10.010.3
Auto5.9
Teleop7.3
End0.1
blue by 3.3
8193
#27
16.70.1
14.214.1
Auto7.3
Teleop8.1
End1.3
Third
6533
#30
7.10.6
8.38.8
Auto4.5
Teleop2.0
End0.6
blue by 0.9
6631
#33
8.00.1
6.46.3
Auto3.2
Teleop4.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
62%Melody oddsEarned28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed