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Red76
495620.8
511434.8
777213.9
Blue17
55048.8
97317.8
96855.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions662304060801007617

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.81.1
28.329.4
Auto14.1
Teleop19.5
End1.2
red by 26.0
5504
#31
8.80.6
11.310.7
Auto2.3
Teleop3.4
End3.1
Second
4956
#10
20.81.1
14.815.9
Auto6.0
Teleop12.4
End2.4
red by 13.0
9731
#39
7.82.0
10.28.2
Auto6.1
Teleop1.0
End0.8
Third
7772
#23
13.91.1
11.512.6
Auto7.3
Teleop4.6
End2.0
red by 8.2
9685
#34
5.70.6
5.34.7
Auto3.0
Teleop1.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsEarned12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed