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Red48
966214.4
560322.4
777213.9
Blue33
65337.1
52318.9
261913.7
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions573102040801004833

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5603
#11
22.40.2
20.720.6
Auto8.0
Teleop12.5
End1.9
red by 8.6
2619
#13
13.70.1
12.011.9
Auto4.4
Teleop6.9
End2.5
Second
9662
#26
14.40.2
13.613.4
Auto5.3
Teleop7.2
End1.8
red by 5.4
5231
#36
8.90.2
10.310.2
Auto4.6
Teleop3.5
End0.8
Third
7772
#23
13.90.2
13.913.8
Auto7.3
Teleop4.6
End2.0
red by 6.9
6533
#30
7.10.2
8.68.4
Auto4.5
Teleop2.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
56%Melody oddsEarned7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsMissed