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Red42
851724.3
777213.9
65337.1
Blue62
571236.6
522910.7
609714.4
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48730204060801001204262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.30.3
24.023.7
Auto9.4
Teleop12.5
End2.4
blue by 12.3
36.60.2
37.136.9
Auto14.9
Teleop18.7
End2.9
Second
7772
#23
13.90.3
13.813.5
Auto7.3
Teleop4.6
End2.0
blue by 0.5
6097
#29
14.40.2
15.515.3
Auto7.2
Teleop6.0
End1.2
Third
6533
#30
7.10.3
8.48.1
Auto4.5
Teleop2.0
End0.6
blue by 3.7
5229
#24
10.70.2
10.210.0
Auto2.4
Teleop7.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
62%Melody oddsMissed65%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed