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Red62
675318.3
607316.9
725011.5
Blue52
819316.7
966214.4
522910.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions524302060801006252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6753
#20
18.30.1
18.118.0
Auto7.5
Teleop9.2
End1.7
red by 1.7
8193
#27
16.70.7
16.216.8
Auto7.3
Teleop8.1
End1.3
Second
6073
#12
16.90.1
16.616.5
Auto7.5
Teleop7.3
End2.1
red by 2.5
9662
#26
14.40.7
13.714.4
Auto5.3
Teleop7.2
End1.8
Third
7250
#28
11.50.1
11.611.5
Auto5.6
Teleop5.1
End0.9
red by 0.8
5229
#24
10.70.8
10.010.8
Auto2.4
Teleop7.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsEarned23%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsEarned5%Ensemble oddsMissed