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Red103
511434.8
571236.6
522910.7
Blue67
598216.6
516625.3
542421.2
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions956620408012014010367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.60.3
36.637.0
Auto14.9
Teleop18.7
End2.9
red by 11.2
25.30.1
25.225.3
Auto9.6
Teleop12.3
End3.5
Second
34.80.3
34.935.2
Auto14.1
Teleop19.5
End1.2
red by 13.6
21.20.1
21.121.2
Auto7.4
Teleop10.7
End3.0
Third
5229
#24
10.70.3
10.811.2
Auto2.4
Teleop7.5
End0.9
blue by 5.8
5982
#14
16.60.1
16.516.6
Auto3.7
Teleop10.0
End2.9