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Red64
477619.0
508429.5
819316.7
Blue62
777213.9
607110.7
607316.9
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7840020601001206462

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.50.0
29.729.6
Auto13.1
Teleop13.9
End2.5
red by 12.6
6073
#12
16.90.2
16.516.7
Auto7.5
Teleop7.3
End2.1
Second
19.00.0
19.219.1
Auto6.8
Teleop11.5
End0.7
red by 5.1
7772
#23
13.90.2
13.513.8
Auto7.3
Teleop4.6
End2.0
Third
8193
#27
16.70.0
16.816.8
Auto7.3
Teleop8.1
End1.3
red by 6.0
6071
#15
10.70.2
10.310.5
Auto5.8
Teleop3.4
End1.4