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Red107
766011.6
6728.2
50329.8
Blue74
436228.9
317529.5
586010.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions747620406010012014016010774

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#5
29.80.7
29.129.8
Auto11.1
Teleop17.6
End1.1
red by 0.2
29.50.1
29.429.5
Auto12.5
Teleop14.3
End2.7
Second
67
#2
28.20.7
27.528.2
Auto10.4
Teleop12.1
End5.6
blue by 0.7
28.90.1
28.728.9
Auto10.4
Teleop16.6
End1.8
Third
7660
#23
11.60.7
10.911.6
Auto5.0
Teleop4.7
End1.9
red by 1.2
5860
#21
10.40.1
10.310.4
Auto4.4
Teleop6.0
End-0.0