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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58502030407080905233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.50.0
25.625.6
Auto12.5
Teleop14.3
End2.7
red by 6.9
22.71.4
20.118.7
Auto8.2
Teleop13.2
End1.3
Second
3322
#10
21.30.0
16.816.8
Auto11.3
Teleop8.9
End1.1
red by 3.5
1701
#15
17.91.4
17.315.8
Auto5.7
Teleop10.0
End2.2
Third
5860
#21
10.40.0
9.39.3
Auto4.4
Teleop6.0
End-0.0
red by 4.6
4384
#19
5.81.4
8.57.1
Auto1.7
Teleop3.6
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
58%Melody oddsEarned24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed