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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49672030406080901005156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3322
#10
21.30.4
20.520.9
Auto11.3
Teleop8.9
End1.1
blue by 7.5
28.90.2
27.827.6
Auto10.4
Teleop16.6
End1.8
Second
5167
#11
15.20.4
13.814.2
Auto3.4
Teleop9.4
End2.4
blue by 10.6
25.80.2
23.723.5
Auto10.7
Teleop12.9
End2.3
Third
7225
#25
13.70.4
12.512.8
Auto4.3
Teleop8.2
End1.2
red by 6.4
5642
#26
7.30.2
6.86.6
Auto2.6
Teleop4.6
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed51%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed