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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62582040801008267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.70.4
22.222.6
Auto8.2
Teleop13.2
End1.3
red by 1.3
3322
#10
21.30.3
21.021.3
Auto11.3
Teleop8.9
End1.1
Second
20.60.4
20.120.5
Auto9.4
Teleop8.7
End2.5
red by 2.4
18.20.3
17.918.2
Auto6.0
Teleop11.0
End1.2
Third
7225
#25
13.70.4
13.313.7
Auto4.3
Teleop8.2
End1.2
blue by 0.4
5561
#17
14.10.3
13.814.1
Auto6.7
Teleop5.6
End1.8