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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59452040801007160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3322
#10
21.30.4
20.621.0
Auto11.3
Teleop8.9
End1.1
red by 6.2
548
#16
15.20.4
14.815.2
Auto5.2
Teleop9.4
End0.5
Second
18.20.4
17.517.9
Auto6.0
Teleop11.0
End1.2
red by 3.1
5167
#11
15.20.4
14.715.2
Auto3.4
Teleop9.4
End2.4
Third
5561
#17
14.10.4
13.413.8
Auto6.7
Teleop5.6
End1.8
red by 1.0
5424
#20
13.10.4
12.713.1
Auto6.3
Teleop4.3
End2.5