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Red49
523412.0
439225.3
97547.0
Blue59
552522.4
96615.9
782618.6
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions284102060801001201404959

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.31.3
15.917.2
Auto13.4
Teleop10.9
End1.0
red by 2.9
22.40.9
14.415.3
Auto9.0
Teleop11.4
End2.1
Second
5234
#35
12.01.3
5.77.1
Auto5.0
Teleop4.6
End2.4
blue by 6.6
7826
#18
18.60.9
16.517.4
Auto8.2
Teleop8.3
End2.1
Third
9754
#40
7.01.3
5.36.7
Auto3.9
Teleop1.9
End1.2
red by 1.1
9661
#38
5.90.9
4.85.7
Auto3.0
Teleop2.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed