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Red58
959411.7
233731.0
95418.7
Blue39
722626.4
523412.0
90412.1
51%Model gave it49%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41403050605839

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.01.3
22.123.4
Auto14.2
Teleop15.2
End1.5
red by 4.5
7226
#12
26.40.3
20.220.5
Auto12.6
Teleop11.8
End2.0
Second
9594
#23
11.71.3
11.212.5
Auto3.5
Teleop7.0
End1.1
blue by 0.5
904
#14
12.10.3
7.57.8
Auto3.6
Teleop6.0
End2.4
Third
9541
#22
8.71.3
5.26.5
Auto5.1
Teleop3.5
End0.1
blue by 3.3
5234
#35
12.00.3
7.17.3
Auto5.0
Teleop4.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsEarned9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed