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Red16
65335.7
96615.9
95418.7
Blue75
150219.8
522914.1
240520.3
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions145702040801001201675

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9541
#22
8.70.3
6.66.3
Auto5.1
Teleop3.5
End0.1
blue by 11.6
20.31.2
18.019.2
Auto9.0
Teleop8.8
End2.5
Second
9661
#38
5.90.3
6.56.2
Auto3.0
Teleop2.5
End0.4
blue by 13.9
19.81.2
16.617.9
Auto8.9
Teleop10.1
End0.8
Third
6533
#36
5.70.3
5.04.7
Auto2.8
Teleop2.5
End0.4
blue by 8.4
5229
#30
14.11.2
12.113.3
Auto3.8
Teleop9.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed43%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsEarned