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Red43
66429.8
498318.0
716016.5
Blue73
828622.7
610020.5
233731.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5066204060801001204373

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4983
#16
18.00.3
18.918.7
Auto8.3
Teleop7.5
End2.1
blue by 13.0
31.01.0
25.026.0
Auto14.2
Teleop15.2
End1.5
Second
7160
#31
16.50.3
17.016.8
Auto6.0
Teleop8.9
End1.5
blue by 6.2
22.71.0
18.019.0
Auto10.0
Teleop11.2
End1.6
Third
6642
#39
9.80.3
10.910.6
Auto4.7
Teleop2.7
End2.4
blue by 10.6
6100
#13
20.51.0
14.515.6
Auto8.3
Teleop10.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed35%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed