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Red39
776822.4
66429.8
482710.0
Blue40
654823.6
96729.3
483514.1
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375302060801003940

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.40.0
16.816.7
Auto8.0
Teleop13.2
End1.2
blue by 1.2
6548
#17
23.60.4
24.624.2
Auto9.2
Teleop12.1
End2.4
Second
4827
#26
10.00.0
9.79.7
Auto4.7
Teleop2.6
End2.7
blue by 4.2
4835
#10
14.10.4
11.811.4
Auto4.2
Teleop9.2
End0.7
Third
6642
#39
9.80.0
9.29.1
Auto4.7
Teleop2.7
End2.4
red by 0.5
9.30.4
9.49.1
Auto3.6
Teleop5.5
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed30%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed