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Red62
917623.7
654823.6
522914.1
Blue66
233731.0
696311.4
499413.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6550204060801006266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9176
#15
23.70.3
20.220.6
Auto10.2
Teleop12.9
End0.6
blue by 7.3
31.01.3
26.027.3
Auto14.2
Teleop15.2
End1.5
Second
6548
#17
23.60.3
23.724.0
Auto9.2
Teleop12.1
End2.4
red by 10.5
4994
#20
13.21.3
10.912.2
Auto3.2
Teleop7.5
End2.5
Third
5229
#30
14.10.3
13.313.7
Auto3.8
Teleop9.4
End0.8
red by 2.6
6963
#21
11.41.3
9.911.1
Auto6.9
Teleop4.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsEarned25%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
34%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed