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Red29
959411.7
522914.1
65335.7
Blue64
550526.5
556011.6
610020.5
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions365402060802964

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5229
#30
14.10.4
14.313.9
Auto3.8
Teleop9.4
End0.8
blue by 12.5
26.51.2
23.024.1
Auto9.1
Teleop14.2
End3.2
Second
9594
#23
11.70.4
13.413.0
Auto3.5
Teleop7.0
End1.1
blue by 8.8
6100
#13
20.51.2
14.615.8
Auto8.3
Teleop10.1
End2.1
Third
6533
#36
5.70.4
7.26.8
Auto2.8
Teleop2.5
End0.4
blue by 6.0
5560
#28
11.61.2
8.910.1
Auto5.0
Teleop4.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed35%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsEarned