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Red50
498318.0
921518.8
95418.7
Blue16
51627.7
611210.0
959411.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48350204060805016

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9215
#19
18.80.5
15.314.7
Auto8.2
Teleop8.2
End2.3
red by 7.1
9594
#23
11.71.1
13.011.8
Auto3.5
Teleop7.0
End1.1
Second
4983
#16
18.00.5
17.917.4
Auto8.3
Teleop7.5
End2.1
red by 7.9
6112
#34
10.01.1
9.88.7
Auto6.3
Teleop1.7
End2.1
Third
9541
#22
8.70.5
8.88.3
Auto5.1
Teleop3.5
End0.1
red by 1.0
5162
#24
7.71.1
10.39.2
Auto2.3
Teleop5.1
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsMissed