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Red74
552522.4
240520.3
610020.5
Blue66
556011.6
782618.6
722626.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63522040801007466

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.41.2
20.621.8
Auto9.0
Teleop11.4
End2.1
blue by 4.0
7226
#12
26.41.2
23.424.6
Auto12.6
Teleop11.8
End2.0
Second
6100
#13
20.51.2
15.817.0
Auto8.3
Teleop10.1
End2.1
red by 1.9
7826
#18
18.61.2
14.816.0
Auto8.2
Teleop8.3
End2.1
Third
20.31.2
19.220.4
Auto9.0
Teleop8.8
End2.5
red by 8.7
5560
#28
11.61.2
10.111.3
Auto5.0
Teleop4.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
49%Melody oddsEarned16%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsEarned