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Red36
148123.0
523110.7
90412.1
Blue62
552522.4
917623.7
556011.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54613040507080901003662

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1481
#11
23.01.3
25.524.3
Auto11.3
Teleop9.8
End1.9
blue by 0.7
9176
#15
23.70.5
21.522.0
Auto10.2
Teleop12.9
End0.6
Second
904
#14
12.11.3
13.011.8
Auto3.6
Teleop6.0
End2.4
blue by 10.3
22.40.5
21.822.3
Auto9.0
Teleop11.4
End2.1
Third
5231
#32
10.71.3
11.410.1
Auto6.2
Teleop3.2
End1.3
blue by 0.9
5560
#28
11.60.5
11.311.8
Auto5.0
Teleop4.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed59%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsMissed