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Red58
776822.4
828622.7
499413.2
Blue71
95418.7
552522.4
550526.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions656102040801001201405871

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.70.3
21.621.2
Auto10.0
Teleop11.2
End1.6
blue by 3.8
26.50.2
25.325.5
Auto9.1
Teleop14.2
End3.2
Second
22.40.3
22.822.4
Auto8.0
Teleop13.2
End1.2
Level
22.40.2
22.322.5
Auto9.0
Teleop11.4
End2.1
Third
4994
#20
13.20.3
13.913.5
Auto3.2
Teleop7.5
End2.5
red by 4.5
9541
#22
8.70.2
8.58.7
Auto5.1
Teleop3.5
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
58%Melody oddsEarned77%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsEarned