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Red46
60337.9
611210.0
921518.8
Blue72
499413.2
439225.3
523110.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383720305060704672

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9215
#19
18.80.2
13.914.1
Auto8.2
Teleop8.2
End2.3
blue by 6.6
25.31.8
17.219.0
Auto13.4
Teleop10.9
End1.0
Second
6112
#34
10.00.2
8.38.6
Auto6.3
Teleop1.7
End2.1
blue by 3.1
4994
#20
13.21.8
8.810.6
Auto3.2
Teleop7.5
End2.5
Third
6033
#25
7.90.2
10.210.5
Auto3.2
Teleop3.7
End0.9
blue by 2.9
5231
#32
10.71.8
9.511.3
Auto6.2
Teleop3.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned11%Ensemble oddsMissed