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Red71
550526.5
921518.8
233731.0
Blue73
917623.7
654823.6
610020.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions827140601001201407173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.00.3
29.929.6
Auto14.2
Teleop15.2
End1.5
red by 7.3
9176
#15
23.70.1
23.023.0
Auto10.2
Teleop12.9
End0.6
Second
26.50.3
25.525.2
Auto9.1
Teleop14.2
End3.2
red by 2.9
6548
#17
23.60.1
23.022.9
Auto9.2
Teleop12.1
End2.4
Third
9215
#19
18.80.3
17.717.4
Auto8.2
Teleop8.2
End2.3
blue by 1.7
6100
#13
20.50.1
19.819.7
Auto8.3
Teleop10.1
End2.1