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Red80
150219.8
828622.7
782618.6
Blue57
498318.0
483514.1
716016.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68510204060801001201408057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.70.5
22.122.6
Auto10.0
Teleop11.2
End1.6
red by 4.8
4983
#16
18.00.2
17.818.0
Auto8.3
Teleop7.5
End2.1
Second
19.80.5
19.119.6
Auto8.9
Teleop10.1
End0.8
red by 3.3
7160
#31
16.50.2
16.316.5
Auto6.0
Teleop8.9
End1.5
Third
7826
#18
18.60.5
17.918.4
Auto8.2
Teleop8.3
End2.1
red by 4.5
4835
#10
14.10.2
13.914.1
Auto4.2
Teleop9.2
End0.7