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Red54
922510.3
92237.7
609023.5
Blue13
68776.0
78102.0
51626.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions392001030506070805413

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.51.7
18.219.9
Auto11.1
Teleop10.0
End2.4
red by 16.9
5162
#28
6.61.0
8.87.8
Auto2.3
Teleop3.7
End0.6
Second
9225
#16
10.31.0
7.68.6
Auto5.8
Teleop3.5
End1.1
red by 4.3
6877
#34
6.01.0
9.28.2
Auto2.3
Teleop2.3
End1.5
Third
9223
#27
7.71.7
7.69.3
Auto1.8
Teleop5.1
End0.8
red by 5.7
7810
#37
2.00.6
2.11.5
Auto0.8
Teleop0.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsEarned9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed