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Red48
400421.4
445312.4
91068.3
Blue14
922510.3
68776.0
79118.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30290102040506070804814

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4004
#14
21.42.1
12.914.9
Auto7.8
Teleop12.3
End1.3
red by 11.1
9225
#16
10.30.8
8.67.8
Auto5.8
Teleop3.5
End1.1
Second
4453
#17
12.41.2
9.510.8
Auto4.0
Teleop6.3
End2.1
red by 4.0
7911
#36
8.41.4
9.68.2
Auto3.1
Teleop5.0
End0.3
Third
9106
#15
8.31.2
5.06.2
Auto3.1
Teleop4.3
End0.9
red by 2.3
6877
#34
6.01.4
8.26.8
Auto2.3
Teleop2.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed