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Red8
43374.1
68776.0
97569.2
Blue68
438124.8
102531.5
92486.2
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions196404080100868

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9756
#30
9.21.6
10.99.3
Auto2.6
Teleop5.0
End1.7
blue by 22.3
31.51.0
28.229.3
Auto12.9
Teleop14.5
End4.1
Second
6877
#34
6.01.6
5.13.6
Auto2.3
Teleop2.3
End1.5
blue by 18.8
24.81.0
19.220.2
Auto7.6
Teleop15.5
End1.8
Third
4337
#38
4.11.0
6.35.3
Auto1.2
Teleop2.3
End0.6
blue by 2.1
9248
#39
6.21.7
5.06.7
Auto2.0
Teleop3.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed54%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsEarned