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Red49
964815.4
91068.3
277118.0
Blue15
92486.2
959410.3
78102.0
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50150204060804915

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2771
#11
18.00.2
19.919.7
Auto9.0
Teleop8.4
End0.7
red by 7.7
9594
#10
10.31.5
10.69.1
Auto2.1
Teleop6.8
End1.4
Second
9648
#18
15.40.1
13.613.4
Auto3.7
Teleop11.2
End0.5
red by 9.2
9248
#39
6.21.5
6.14.6
Auto2.0
Teleop3.0
End1.2
Third
9106
#15
8.30.1
7.47.3
Auto3.1
Teleop4.3
End0.9
red by 6.4
7810
#37
2.01.0
0.8-0.2
Auto0.8
Teleop0.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsEarned