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Red61
91068.3
92237.7
353827.3
Blue28
922510.3
445312.4
72568.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403602060801006128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.31.7
23.024.7
Auto10.5
Teleop13.7
End3.1
red by 14.9
4453
#17
12.40.3
12.412.1
Auto4.0
Teleop6.3
End2.1
Second
9106
#15
8.31.7
7.59.2
Auto3.1
Teleop4.3
End0.9
blue by 2.0
9225
#16
10.30.3
11.311.0
Auto5.8
Teleop3.5
End1.1
Third
9223
#27
7.72.2
5.47.7
Auto1.8
Teleop5.1
End0.8
blue by 1.1
7256
#35
8.80.3
9.39.0
Auto3.7
Teleop4.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed