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Red32
97428.7
51626.6
600512.0
Blue65
516718.5
240516.7
612810.6
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions235304060801003265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6005
#29
12.00.5
12.112.6
Auto5.2
Teleop5.7
End1.1
blue by 6.5
5167
#13
18.50.4
19.219.6
Auto6.0
Teleop9.2
End3.2
Second
9742
#32
8.70.7
6.57.2
Auto3.8
Teleop4.3
End0.6
blue by 8.0
2405
#22
16.70.5
14.815.3
Auto7.0
Teleop7.2
End2.5
Third
5162
#28
6.60.7
5.76.4
Auto2.3
Teleop3.7
End0.6
blue by 3.9
6128
#26
10.60.5
10.310.8
Auto3.2
Teleop6.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed32%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed