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Red36
43374.1
760212.6
861221.0
Blue20
54707.8
964815.4
922510.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443702060801001203620

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8612
#12
21.00.5
19.619.0
Auto8.7
Teleop11.1
End1.2
red by 5.6
9648
#18
15.40.9
14.513.6
Auto3.7
Teleop11.2
End0.5
Second
7602
#33
12.60.5
13.513.0
Auto5.7
Teleop6.5
End0.4
red by 2.2
9225
#16
10.30.9
11.010.0
Auto5.8
Teleop3.5
End1.1
Third
4337
#38
4.10.5
5.95.4
Auto1.2
Teleop2.3
End0.6
blue by 3.7
5470
#25
7.81.2
8.57.3
Auto4.1
Teleop1.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed