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Red45
515231.5
97428.7
64289.4
Blue41
828513.3
240516.7
610010.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions483301001504541

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.50.2
26.226.4
Auto9.7
Teleop18.6
End3.2
red by 14.8
2405
#22
16.71.0
11.112.0
Auto7.0
Teleop7.2
End2.5
Second
6428
#24
9.40.4
7.57.9
Auto3.2
Teleop4.6
End1.6
blue by 3.9
8285
#23
13.31.0
10.411.4
Auto5.3
Teleop6.6
End1.4
Third
9742
#32
8.70.4
7.88.2
Auto3.8
Teleop4.3
End0.6
blue by 1.7
6100
#31
10.41.0
10.511.5
Auto5.1
Teleop3.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed