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Red81
609023.5
828513.3
515231.5
Blue86
861221.0
438124.8
600512.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76652040601001208186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.50.3
31.231.5
Auto9.7
Teleop18.6
End3.2
red by 6.7
24.80.0
25.725.7
Auto7.6
Teleop15.5
End1.8
Second
23.50.3
23.223.5
Auto11.1
Teleop10.0
End2.4
red by 2.5
8612
#12
21.00.0
21.821.9
Auto8.7
Teleop11.1
End1.2
Third
8285
#23
13.30.3
13.013.3
Auto5.3
Teleop6.6
End1.4
red by 1.3
6005
#29
12.00.0
12.912.9
Auto5.2
Teleop5.7
End1.1