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Red85
8527.5
357227.4
610010.4
Blue59
240516.7
50319.6
516718.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions706030405080901008559

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#6
27.50.5
26.527.0
Auto11.0
Teleop14.9
End1.6
red by 7.9
503
#19
19.60.1
19.920.0
Auto6.3
Teleop12.3
End1.1
Second
27.40.5
26.426.9
Auto12.3
Teleop13.0
End2.1
red by 8.9
5167
#13
18.50.1
18.818.9
Auto6.0
Teleop9.2
End3.2
Third
6100
#31
10.40.5
9.49.9
Auto5.1
Teleop3.6
End1.7
blue by 6.3
2405
#22
16.70.1
17.017.1
Auto7.0
Teleop7.2
End2.5